CN 11-5366/S     ISSN 1673-1530
“风景园林,不只是一本期刊。”

城市复合碳汇价值评价研究——以沈阳市为例

Evaluation of the Value of Urban Composite Carbon Sinks:A Case Study of Shenyang

  • 摘要: 摘要:【目的】在实现双碳目标的紧迫任务与建立生态补偿制度的背景下,碳汇价值评价尤为重要。但在当前碳汇生态补偿研究中,城市的碳汇价值被忽视。因此本文从城市生态系统特征出发,构建城市复合碳汇价值的计算方法,揭示城市复合碳汇价值。【方法】首先利用遥感影像结合样地数据,构建碳储量估算模型,对2003-2023年沈阳四环区域内的自然与人工碳储量进行计算,选取造林成本法、碳税法和碳交易法对研究区城市复合碳汇价值进行评价,分析不同方法城市复合碳汇价值的时间变化、空间分布以及不同碳汇要素碳汇价值贡献的变化情况,并对城市复合碳汇价值评价的作用与应用,评价过程中存在的局限进行了探讨。【结果】结果表明2003-2023年沈阳市四环区域内,造林成本法计算得到复合碳汇价值为5.99亿元-25.00亿元,碳税法为6.46亿元-8.64亿元,碳交易法为6.23-8.33亿元。不同方法间碳汇价值评价结果差异较大,目前我国的碳交易价格与相关研究得到的碳税价格仍有上升空间。2003-2023年城市复合碳汇价值不断提高,植被与土壤碳汇价值呈现波动趋势,而建筑碳汇价值则持续上升,植被、土壤的碳汇价值占比从2003年的43.61%、46.15%,下降到34.70%、36.62%,而建筑碳汇价值占比则从10.24%,上升到28.70%。【结论】城市空间在陆地生态系统碳汇的重要贡献不容忽视,城市复合碳汇价值在总量上略逊于森林等其他陆地生态系统,但在年均增长上具有一定优势;城市复合碳汇价值评价能够揭示城市空间碳资产情况,明确当前城市各类碳汇要素的碳汇价值,进而为进一步探讨由于自然-人工空间冲突、城市环境变化对碳汇价值的影响提供了支持,为城市复合碳汇效能提升提供新的理论与方法,为以综合效益为主要目标的土地利用决策与规划提供参考;各类人类活动因素对城市复合碳汇价值的影响是复杂的,找到关键因素应当成为未来研究的重点;不同方法选择上,造林成本法相对不适合城市碳汇价值的评价,但同时碳税法与碳交易法在应用过程中也存在一定局限,未来碳交易价格的调控和碳税税率的制定应参考碳汇造林成本,使之更加适应城市复合碳汇价值的评价。

     

    Abstract: Objective In the context of urgent tasks to achieve dual carbon goals and establish an ecological compensation system, the evaluation of carbon sequestration value becomes particularly important. However, in current research on carbon sequestration ecological compensation, the value of urban carbon sinks is often overlooked. Therefore, this paper proposes a method for calculating the composite carbon sequestration value of urban areas based on the characteristics of urban ecosystems, aiming to reveal the composite carbon sequestration value of cities. MethodsUsing remote sensing imagery combined with plot data, we established a model for estimating carbon storage and calculated the natural and artificial carbon storage within the Shenyang Fourth Ring area from 2003 to 2023. We employed the afforestation cost method, carbon tax method, and carbon trading method to assess the composite carbon sequestration value of the study area. We analyzed the spatiotemporal variations in the composite carbon sequestration value using different methods, as well as the changing contributions of various carbon sequestration elements. Additionally, we conducted preliminary discussions on the relationships between different carbon pricing calculation methods, changes in carbon sequestration value, urban development, and compared urban spatial carbon sequestration values with those of other ecosystems. ResultsThe results indicate that from 2003 to 2023, the composite carbon sequestration value within the Shenyang Fourth Ring area, as calculated by the afforestation cost method, ranges from 599 million to 2.5 billion yuan, while the carbon tax method yields values ranging from 646 million to 864 million yuan, and the carbon trading method ranges from 623 million to 833 million yuan. There are significant differences in carbon sequestration value evaluations among different methods, suggesting that there is still room for the carbon trading price and carbon tax price in China to rise according to related research. Over the period of 2003-2023, the composite carbon sequestration value of the urban area has continuously increased. The values of vegetation and soil carbon sequestration exhibit a fluctuating trend, while the value of building carbon sequestration has consistently risen. The proportion of carbon sequestration value contributed by vegetation and soil has decreased from 43.61% and 46.15% in 2003 to 34.70% and 36.62%, respectively, whereas the proportion contributed by building carbon sequestration has increased from 10.24% to 28.70%. ConclusionThe important contribution of urban space to carbon sinks in terrestrial ecosystems should not be ignored, and the value of urban composite carbon sinks is slightly inferior to that of other terrestrial ecosystems such as forests in total volume, but it has a certain advantage in average annual growth; the evaluation of the value of urban composite carbon sinks can reveal urban spatial carbon assets, make clear the value of carbon sinks of the various types of carbon sinks in urban areas, and provide support for the further exploration of the impacts of changes in urban environments due to the conflict between natural and man-made spaces, The evaluation of urban composite carbon sink value can reveal the urban spatial carbon asset situation, clarify the current carbon sink value of various urban carbon sink elements, and then provide support for further exploring the influence of natural-artificial spatial conflicts and urban environmental changes on the value of carbon sinks, and provide new theories and methods for improving the efficiency of urban composite carbon sinks, as well as references for the decision-making and planning of land use that takes the comprehensive benefit as the main goal; the impact of various human activities on the value of urban composite carbon sinks is complex, and finding the key factors should be the focus of future research;in terms of the choice of different methods, the afforestation cost method is relatively unsuitable for evaluating the value of urban carbon sinks, but at the same time, there are also limitations of the carbon tax law and the carbon transaction law in the process of application. In the future, the regulation of carbon trading price and the formulation of carbon tax rate should refer to the afforestation cost of carbon sinks, so as to make it more adaptable to the evaluation of the value of urban composite carbon sinks.

     

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